Upcoming Fuel Prices in Pakistan: Next Petrol & Diesel Price Prediction
Upcoming fuel prices in Pakistan will be influenced by international crude oil trends, the rupee-dollar exchange rate, the petroleum levy, freight costs, and government adjustments. Currently, petrol is priced at Rs. 345.87/litre and HSD diesel at Rs. 378.05/litre, unchanged since September 05, 2026. The next price revision is expected to be stable to slightly higher based on current trends, but these are estimates and not official prices.
Quick Fuel Price Prediction Table
Fuel | Current Price | Expected Price | Expected Change | Trend |
Petrol | Rs 345.87/L | Rs 325–350/L | +/- Rs 3–5 | → (stable, slight upside risk) |
High-Speed Diesel | Rs 378.05/L | Rs 378–400/L | +/- Rs 3–5 | → (stable, slight upside risk) |
Kerosene (SKO) | Rs 286.44/L | Rs 267–330/L | +/- Rs 3 | → |
What Are the Upcoming Fuel Prices in Pakistan?
Since mid-July 2026, Pakistan has shifted to a daily fuel price review system due to volatility in the Middle East. The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) recommends daily ex-depot rates based on a seven-day rolling average of international prices and the USD/PKR exchange rate. Currently, petrol is priced at Rs. 345.87 per litre and HSD diesel at Rs. 378.05 per litre, with these rates unchanged since September 05, 2026. This stability is attributed to the non-publication of international benchmark prices. As Brent crude hovers around $87–88 per barrel and the rupee remains stable at Rs. 277–278 to the dollar, future pricing reviews are expected to result in minor adjustments rather than significant changes. Official notifications from the Petroleum Division will confirm the pump prices.
When Is the Next Petrol Price Review in Pakistan?
Historically, Pakistan revised petroleum prices every two weeks, but on July 17, 2026, the government switched to a daily review system due to fluctuations in global oil markets related to the Iran conflict and disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz. Under this new system, OGRA calculates rates each night, with new prices effective at midnight PKT. However, prices may not change daily, as seen on August 10 and 11, 2026, when rates remained unchanged due to a delay in updated benchmark data. Predictions about prices are estimates and not substitutes for the official announcements from the Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division).
Item | Details |
Current review period | August 8–11, 2026 (held unchanged) |
Next expected review | Night of August 20, 2026 |
Expected announcement | Effective September 02, 2026, 00:01 PKT |
Effective from | Daily, subject to Platts data availability |
Official authority | OGRA (recommendation) / Petroleum Division, Ministry of Energy (notification) |
Expected Petrol Price in Pakistan
Expected petrol price
The next review is estimated to range between Rs. 325–340 per litre, similar to the current rate of Rs. 345.87/litre. This reflects a balanced market influenced by rising crude prices and a stabilizing rupee.
Read Also : current price of petrol today
Expected increase or decrease
If crude oil prices remain high, a slight increase of Rs. 2–5 per litre in fuel prices is likely. Conversely, if Brent crude falls to the low-$80s and the rupee remains stable, a small decrease could occur. Significant changes beyond Rs. 8–10 per litre would likely need a new geopolitical event or significant currency fluctuations.
What could change the forecast?
- Crude oil prices can fluctuate significantly due to developments in the Strait of Hormuz.
- A weaker rupee increases the cost of imported fuel, affecting pricing even if crude prices remain stable.
- The government has the ability to adjust the petroleum levy independently of market prices.
- Prices of refined petrol and diesel do not always correlate directly with crude oil prices.
- Shipping disruptions in the Gulf can impact landed costs due to increased freight costs.
- Estimated price range: Rs. 325–332/L; Direction: Stable with slight upside risk; Confidence level: Medium.
Expected Diesel Price in Pakistan
HSD diesel is priced at Rs. 378.05 per litre, unchanged since Sep 05, 2026. Diesel prices closely follow international markets due to its critical role in transportation. The forecast suggests that HSD may range from Rs. 378–386 per litre at the next review, with a slight possibility of an increase if international prices remain stable. Changes in the exchange rate and applicable levies could influence these outcomes.
Fuel history graph
Fuel Price Trends
Why Could Fuel Prices Increase in Pakistan?
- Rising International Crude Oil Prices: Brent crude is nearing $87–88 a barrel due to uncertainty about US-Iran relations impacting the Strait of Hormuz, which raises costs for Pakistan, a major oil importer.
- Weak Pakistani Rupee: A decline in the rupee against the dollar increases petroleum costs in rupee terms, leading to higher pump prices regardless of crude price stability.
- Higher International Petroleum Product Prices: Prices for petrol and diesel can fluctuate independently of crude oil prices, influenced by factors like refinery outages and shipping bottlenecks.
- Increased Petroleum Levy or Taxes: Government-controlled factors, such as petroleum levies, can raise retail prices even with stable international crude prices.
- Freight and Other Adjustments: Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz lead to longer, more expensive shipping routes, adding to the final price due to elevated freight and insurance costs.
Why Could Petrol Prices Decrease in Pakistan?
Petrol prices could decrease under several conditions:
- A drop in crude oil prices due to geopolitical instability or reduced global demand.
- Strengthening of the rupee, making imports cheaper.
- Reduced international product prices if refining margins narrow.
- Lower government levies on petroleum.
- Decreased freight and shipping costs from improved safety or ceasefire arrangements in the Gulf.
Three possible price scenarios
Scenario | Market Condition | Possible Result |
Bullish | Oil rises + rupee weakens | Petrol increases |
Base | Markets remain stable | Little change |
Bearish | Oil falls + rupee strengthens | Petrol decreases |
How Are Petrol Prices Calculated in Pakistan?
Pakistan’s petrol price is determined by several components, including:
- International petroleum product price (Platts benchmark)
- Exchange rate (USD/PKR)
- Import-related costs (freight and insurance)
- Petroleum levy (government-set charge per litre)
- General sales tax and other duties
- Inland Freight Equalisation Margin (IFEM)
- Oil Marketing Company (OMC) margin
- Dealer commission
- Other government-approved adjustments
Simple petrol price formula
The retail fuel price can be understood through the formula: International price + import/transport costs + government levies/taxes + regulated margins. The specific weighting of each component varies with government policy, so this serves as a conceptual guide rather than an exact calculation.
Fuel Cost Calculator Pakistan
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Role of OGRA in Pakistan Fuel Prices
The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) calculates and recommends ex-depot petroleum prices based on factors like international benchmark prices and the exchange rate. These recommendations are submitted to the Ministry of Energy’s Petroleum Division, which issues the official price notification. While OGRA provides forecasts based on public data, the final price and its timing are determined by the Petroleum Division and the federal government. Media predictions are considered informed estimates, not official announcements.
How International Oil Prices Affect Pakistan
The text outlines the relationship between global oil prices and domestic petrol/diesel prices in Pakistan. Key points include:
- Global oil prices, particularly Brent crude, significantly impact Pakistan’s import costs and domestic pricing.
- Brent crude has been volatile due to disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz.
- Refined petrol prices can vary independently of crude oil prices based on refining capacity and seasonal demand.
- Diesel prices tend to fluctuate more than petrol during supply disruptions, reflecting its importance in shipping, agriculture, and industry.
- Pakistan’s heavy reliance on imported crude oil and refined products limits its ability to buffer against international price changes.
How the Dollar Rate Affects Petrol Prices
Petroleum products are priced in US dollars, making the USD/PKR exchange rate crucial for determining local fuel costs in Pakistan. A weaker rupee increases the cost of imported oil, while a stronger rupee can mitigate rising crude prices. For example, if the rupee depreciates even with stable international oil prices, the local cost of imported fuel can still rise due to the higher rupee amount needed to purchase the same dollar-priced barrel.
Upcoming Fuel Price Prediction vs Official Price
To make sure this forecast is clear and helpful, we’ll regularly compare our past predictions with the official updates we receive.
Review Date | Our Prediction | Official Price | Difference |
Aug 8, 2026 | Rs 326–330 | Rs 327.62 | within range |
Aug 11, 2026 | Rs 326–331 | Rs 327.62 (unchanged) | within range |
Aug 12, 2026 | Rs 325–332 (pending) | — | — |
Sep 05, 2026 | 345.05 | — | — |
The prediction accuracy will be determined by calculating the average error, which will be updated with each official notification from OGRA/Petroleum Division. This section will refresh regularly, allowing visitors to assess the track record rather than relying on a single forecast.
Pakistan Petrol Price History
Date | Petrol | HSD | Change |
Jul 29, 2026 | Rs 335.81 | Rs 388.38 | Increase |
Aug 1, 2026 | Rs 328.56 | Rs 385.86 | Decrease |
Aug 4, 2026 | Reduced (larger cut) | Reduced | Decrease |
Sep 05, 2026 | Rs 345.87 | Rs 378.05 | Increase, then held |
The text indicates that figures are sourced from various public fuel-price trackers, which may have minor discrepancies as pricing transitions to a daily system. It also mentions the availability of a month-by-month archive of petrol prices in Pakistan.
Price History
| Date | Petrol | Diesel (HSD) | High Octane | Light Diesel | Kerosene |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 September 2026 | Rs 358.77 | Rs 381.77 | Rs 370.00 | Rs 267.06 | Rs 307.00 |
| 05 September 2026 | Rs 345.87 | Rs 378.05 | Rs 370.00 | Rs 252.03 | Rs 286.44 |
| 04 September 2026 | Rs 349.00 | Rs 374.31 | Rs 370.00 | Rs 252.03 | Rs 286.44 |
| 03 September 2026 | Rs 346.16 | Rs 372.03 | Rs 370.00 | Rs 252.03 | Rs 286.44 |
| 02 September 2026 | Rs 343.87 | Rs 370.91 | Rs 365.00 | Rs 252.03 | Rs 286.44 |
| 01 September 2026 | Rs 342.79 | Rs 370.41 | Rs 365.00 | Rs 252.03 | Rs 286.44 |
| 29 August 2026 | Rs 342.02 | Rs 371.44 | Rs 365.00 | Rs 269.69 | Rs 303.50 |
| 28 August 2026 | Rs 342.60 | Rs 371.61 | Rs 365.00 | Rs 269.69 | Rs 303.50 |
| 26 August 2026 | Rs 343.10 | Rs 371.80 | Rs 365.00 | Rs 269.69 | Rs 303.50 |
| 25 August 2026 | Rs 341.98 | Rs 370.69 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 261.81 | Rs 300.85 |
| 22 August 2026 | Rs 341.59 | Rs 368.29 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 261.81 | Rs 300.85 |
| 22 August 2026 | Rs 341.59 | Rs 368.29 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 261.81 | Rs 300.85 |
| 21 August 2026 | Rs 337.78 | Rs 364.70 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 261.81 | Rs 300.85 |
| 20 August 2026 | Rs 337.51 | Rs 363.06 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 256.70 | Rs 296.63 |
| 19 August 2026 | Rs 334.54 | Rs 395.69 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 256.70 | Rs 296.63 |
| 18 August 2026 | Rs 331.20 | Rs 390.42 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 249.03 | Rs 289.75 |
| 14 August 2026 | Rs 325.43 | Rs 383.95 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 249.03 | Rs 289.75 |
| 13 August 2026 | Rs 324.98 | Rs 382.79 | Rs 355.00 | Rs 247.82 | Rs 289.87 |
| 11 August 2026 | Rs 325.92 | Rs 382.25 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 256.34 | Rs 301.64 |
| 07 August 2026 | Rs 327.62 | Rs 380.86 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 256.34 | Rs 301.64 |
| 07 August 2026 | Rs 329.82 | Rs 382.36 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 256.34 | Rs 301.64 |
| 06 August 2026 | Rs 333.01 | Rs 383.86 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 256.34 | Rs 301.64 |
| 05 August 2026 | Rs 328.56 | Rs 385.86 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 256.34 | Rs 301.64 |
| 04 August 2026 | Rs 331.95 | Rs 389.93 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 258.84 | Rs 305.22 |
| 01 August 2026 | Rs 336.03 | Rs 392.38 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 259.72 | Rs 306.44 |
| 31 July 2026 | Rs 336.15 | Rs 393.04 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 25.71 | Rs 304.67 |
| 30 July 2026 | Rs 335.06 | Rs 390.62 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 256.04 | Rs 303.63 |
| 29 July 2026 | Rs 335.81 | Rs 388.38 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 255.16 | Rs 303.10 |
| 27 July 2026 | Rs 334.18 | Rs 386.83 | Rs 445.00 | Rs 199.98 | Rs 233.71 |
| 25 July 2026 | Rs 335.18 | Rs 383.46 | Rs 445.00 | Rs 199.98 | Rs 233.71 |
| 24 July 2026 | Rs 331.52 | Rs 378.66 | Rs 445.00 | Rs 199.98 | Rs 233.71 |
| 23 July 2026 | Rs 327.12 | Rs 375.04 | Rs 350.00 | Rs 199.98 | Rs 233.71 |
Upcoming Fuel Prices and Their Impact on Consumers
The text discusses the ripple effects of changes in fuel prices, impacting motorists, logistics companies, and public transport fares. It highlights that fluctuations in fuel prices can influence food prices and inflation over time, though the extent and timing of these effects can vary. Additionally, petrol dealers in Pakistan are voicing concerns, facing a deadline from the Petroleum Ministry, and considering a potential nationwide strike that could affect fuel availability regardless of price changes.
Petrol Price Increase vs Decrease — What Should Consumers Expect?
Factor | Increase Pressure | Decrease Pressure |
Crude oil | ↑ | ↓ |
PKR/USD | Rupee weakens | Rupee strengthens |
International petrol | ↑ | ↓ |
Levy/taxes | ↑ | ↓ |
Freight | ↑ | ↓ |
Final Verdict
Given that Brent crude prices are holding steady near $87–88 per barrel amid uncertainties in the Strait of Hormuz, and with the rupee maintaining a stable value around Rs. 277–278 to the dollar, along with no indicated changes to the petroleum levy, we currently expect that petrol and diesel prices will remain largely stable. However, there is a slight possibility of a small increase in prices at the next daily review. Please note that this is only an estimate—the official government notification, expected around midnight PKT, will ultimately determine the prices at the pump.
یہ دیکھتے ہوئے کہ آبنائے ہرمز میں غیر یقینی صورتحال کے درمیان برینٹ کروڈ کی قیمتیں 87–88 ڈالر فی بیرل کے قریب مستحکم ہیں، اور روپے کی قدر تقریباً روپے کے قریب مستحکم ہے۔ 277–278 ڈالر کے مقابلے میں، پیٹرولیم لیوی میں کوئی اشارہ شدہ تبدیلیوں کے ساتھ، ہم فی الحال توقع کرتے ہیں کہ پیٹرول اور ڈیزل کی قیمتیں بڑی حد تک مستحکم رہیں گی۔ تاہم، اگلے یومیہ جائزے میں قیمتوں میں معمولی اضافے کا تھوڑا سا امکان ہے۔ براہ کرم نوٹ کریں کہ یہ صرف ایک تخمینہ ہے—آدھی رات PKT کے قریب متوقع سرکاری سرکاری نوٹیفکیشن، بالآخر پمپ پر قیمتوں کا تعین کرے گا۔
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the upcoming fuel prices in Pakistan?
The next petrol and diesel prices depend on crude oil, the exchange rate, and government levies. Based on current trends, we expect prices to stay broadly stable, with a modest chance of a small increase at the next daily review.
When is the next petrol price review in Pakistan?
Since July 17, 2026, Pakistan reviews fuel prices daily rather than fortnightly. The next review is expected on the night of August 11, 2026, effective from August 12, pending confirmation from the Petroleum Division.
Will petrol prices increase in Pakistan?
It’s possible but not certain. Firmer Brent crude and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions create some upward pressure, but a stable rupee could offset that. Treat any specific figure as an estimate until officially notified.
Will petrol prices decrease in Pakistan?
A decrease is possible if crude oil eases or the rupee strengthens further. Given current market signals, a small decrease is about as plausible as a small increase; the outlook is close to balanced.
What will be the next petrol price in Pakistan?
Our estimate is a range of Rs. 325–332 per litre, close to the current Rs. 345.87. This is a forecast, not an official figure, and will be updated once OGRA and the Petroleum Division issue their notification.
How is the petrol price calculated in Pakistan?
It combines the international product price, exchange rate, import and freight costs, petroleum levy, taxes, and regulated margins for oil marketing companies and dealers. OGRA calculates and recommends; the Petroleum Division notifies the final rate.
Does crude oil affect petrol prices in Pakistan?
Yes, significantly. Since Pakistan imports most of its petroleum needs, movements in global benchmarks like Brent crude feed directly into the landed cost of fuel and, in turn, the retail price.
Does the dollar rate affect petrol prices?
Yes. Petroleum is priced in US dollars internationally, so a weaker rupee raises the rupee cost of imported fuel even when the dollar price of oil is unchanged, and a stronger rupee can ease that cost.